US Civil War by 1st Jan 2028
31
Ṁ130Ṁ2.3k2028
10%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolution: One or more US states succeeds from the union and war is declared between the two groups.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will there be a civil war in the United States before 2030?
11% chance
Will there be a civil war in Britain before the end of 2029
11% chance
Will a U.S. Civil War occur before January 1st, 2027?
10% chance
Will the US will have a Civil War by the end of 2028?
15% chance
Will >30,000 people die in a US civil war before 2043?
45% chance
US civil war before 2028 with Charlie Kirk shooting as major cause?
3% chance
If there is a civil war in America starting before 2030, who will win?
US and Canada engage in armed conflict before January 1, 2029
7% chance
US and Canada engage in armed conflict before January 20, 2029
5% chance
Martial Law declared in USA by end of 2028?
20% chance