Will the supreme leader of Iran (Seyyed Ali Hosseini Khamenei) be killed before the end of 2024
Standard
66
Ṁ8557Dec 31
18%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
The question will be resolved as yes if there will be a mass media report of the death of the supreme leader of Iran, no matter of cause
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and1.00
Sort by:
@ArashArbabi Natural causes in this period are quite unlikely and it would be impossible to determine whether Israel had their hand in killing him with that.
Related market I put up which can extend later: https://manifold.markets/LiamZ/-will-iranian-leadership-or-israeli
Related questions
Related questions
Will Ali Khamenei remain Supreme Leader of Iran through December 31, 2024?
77% chance
[ACX 2024] Will Ali Khamenei cease to be supreme leader of Iran in 2024?
21% chance
Will Ali Khameini cease to be Supreme Leader of Iran by the end of 2024?
18% chance
Will Iran conduct a nuclear weapons test by the end of 2024?
3% chance
Will there be a war between Iran and Israel by the end of 2024
36% chance
Will Esmail Qaani, commander of Iran's Quds force, be confirmed dead or captured by the end of 2024?
54% chance
Will Ali Khamenei remain Supreme Leader of Iran through December 31st, 2025?
43% chance
Will any world leaders be assassinated by the end of 2024?
20% chance
Will the government of the Islamic Republic of Iran fall by the end of 2024?
6% chance
Will the US and Iran go to war by end 2024?
12% chance