Will the supreme leader of Iran (Seyyed Ali Hosseini Khamenei) be killed before the end of 2024
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Ṁ8406
Dec 31
19%
chance

The question will be resolved as yes if there will be a mass media report of the death of the supreme leader of Iran, no matter of cause

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bought Ṁ300 NO

Betting no so I'll be happy either way.

So even natural causes count as well? Such as sickness etc?

@ArashArbabi Natural causes in this period are quite unlikely and it would be impossible to determine whether Israel had their hand in killing him with that.

Related market I put up which can extend later: https://manifold.markets/LiamZ/-will-iranian-leadership-or-israeli