A major publication is doing a profile on me. Will it be a hit piece?
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A journalist from a major publication interviewed me a few times and has interviewed a whole bunch of my friends. One of my friends thinks it's gonna be a hit piece. I think this is less likely but I'm not sure.

She seems lovely, similar background, unflustered by my weirdness. I've had two conversations/interviews with her. She's talking to a lot of my friends, much more than I expected. This is my first profile on me directly, so maybe this is normal?

I'm used to publications being nice to me because I'm a sex worker, but as time goes on it seems much of the focus in her questions so far is on tech and rationality, which has a more controversial reputation in reporting. Shes intending to attend a rationalist meetup that I'm co-running at lighthaven.

I have never had issues with reporters being uncharitable to me before and am optimistic here. Again, she seems great! But in general, people around me utter doom about journalists, so I can't tell if I should be more paranoid.

The journalist in question seems to be a mildly liberal reporter in her other published articles.

If this piece comes out at all, will it be a hit piece? I'll count it as a hit piece by asking my closest friends "what % hit piece is this piece"; if their answers average over 75%, I'll resolve this question yes.

If no article is published by end of 2025 I'll resolve this na (tho I expect it to get actually published much sooner)

  • Update 2025-19-01 (PST): - Update:

    • Two publications are doing stories on me, not one as previously thought.

    • The resolution criteria will now consider both pieces. (AI summary of creator comment)

  • Update 2025-23-01 (PST): - Resolution Criteria Updated

    • Only the original publication's profile on the creator will be considered for resolution.

    • The additional publication's tech-focused piece is not included in the resolution criteria. (AI summary of creator comment)

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now that you know it’s two stories, does this resolve yes if one of the pieces is >75% a hit piece, or does 75% of the total content of both stories need to be hit piece?

bought á¹€10 YES at 16%

@carterallen I'm gonna resolve it to the original publication i was thinking of. They're both very big publications but i was under the impression that one is less a direct profile on me and more me + tech, while the other is a specific profile. It's just weird the former sent out a photographer instead of the latter!

Wait ok this is stupid and embarrassing but I think actually two publications are doing stories on me and I thought it was one. I thought all the ppl interacting with me were from a single place. I can't believe this

bought á¹€1,450 NO

They just sent out a photographer to get photos and she was very nice and said she read the article and it was good. She's a freelancer not associated with the publication so I think this is a good sign

What's the thing most hated by lefties you've ever said, and how easy is it to find? <- I think this would be a key input into the answer to this question

bought á¹€150 YES from 39% to 40%

Major publications don't do hit pieces on people whose image is defined by left-leaning vibes (and "internet porn person" (or whatever variant you prefer) is very much left leaning). At worst it might be an attempt at a "balanced" article if they find out about your more controversial or right leaning statements.

bought á¹€150 YES from 39% to 40%
opened a á¹€3,000 YES at 51% order

oh no

Congrats on well deserved coverage!

bought á¹€250 NO

Betting no - my sense is that you and your friends would be less likely than journalists or those outside the rat spheres to think the same article is a hit piece, even were it one in the writer's mind.

One of the benefits of unconventional thinking. Keep up the good work

I advise people on this professionally. Happy to give my take if you want to share more details, but on priors you should expect trouble for any journalism focusing on rationality because many reporters take a postmodern perspective. In that perspective, making a truth claim is an assertion of power, but saying you're doing it objectively, like the rationalists say they do, is being underhanded about it and (again, all this from that perspective) the right thing to do is to acknowledge your bias, not to try to pretend you can have a less biased way of seeing the world. This means reporters come at the topic with "what's the hidden agenda" as a main question.

I hope it turns out well, but IMHO you do your friends no favors giving people like that access

@WilliamGunn let's see them bets

@ian I do have a position in this market.

You're asking your friends what % hit piece this is out of articles written about people in general, yes? As opposed to "out of hit pieces" or "out of articles you'd expect people to write about Aella" or so

@YonatanCale I don't follow if the resolution question is "What percent of this is a hit piece?" v "What percent credence do you have that this is a hit piece?"

I.e., the Scott Alexander profile was 100% a hit piece, but some parts of it were fair and factual

One of my friends thinks it's gonna be a hit piece.

Has this friend been interviewed?

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