Will the linked Aella market resolve YES?

Question

The Aella market:

(https://manifold.markets/embed/Aella/a-major-publication-is-doing-a-prof)

This market resolves YES if the above market resolves YES. If that market resolves NA or to a partial percentage, this resolves NO. If anything weird happens, the spirit of this market is to depend on the Aella market's final resolution, not any temporary accidental resolutions or anything like that.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Probably not — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 23% chance (5 traders, as of Jun 23, 2026).