Will Tom Steyer Endorse Xavier Becerra By Name Before the 2026 California gubernatorial election (November 3rd 2026)

Question

Resolution criteria

This market resolves to YES if Tom Steyer publicly and officially endorses Xavier Becerra for Governor of California at any point before the general election on November 3, 2026.

The market resolves to NO if no such public endorsement is announced by 11:59 PM PT on November 2, 2026.

Key Details & Edge Cases:

Definition of endorsement: 
A clear public statement of endorsement or support of Xavier Becerra on the November ballot by Tom Steyer or his official campaign.

Endorsing "The Democratic nominee" or "The Democratic ticket" will NOT suffice to resolve the market to YES

Manifold Markets · Answer

Probably not — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 39% chance (3 traders, as of Jun 9, 2026).

Resolution criteria

Definition of endorsement:
A clear public statement of endorsement or support of Xavier Becerra on the November ballot by Tom Steyer or his official campaign.

Endorsing "The Democratic nominee" or "The Democratic ticket" will NOT suffice to resolve the market to YES

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Resolution criteria

Definition of endorsement: A clear public statement of endorsement or support of Xavier Becerra on the November ballot by Tom Steyer or his official campaign. Endorsing "The Democratic nominee" or "The Democratic ticket" will NOT suffice to resolve the market to YES

People are also trading

Related questions

Definition of endorsement:
A clear public statement of endorsement or support of Xavier Becerra on the November ballot by Tom Steyer or his official campaign.

Endorsing "The Democratic nominee" or "The Democratic ticket" will NOT suffice to resolve the market to YES