Will I lose my life savings on manifold before the end of 2024?
9
64
240
2025
7%
chance

An AI generated song a friend shared about my tragic bet on manifold which I hope turns out to be fiction:

https://suno.com/song/d994e2e7-29ef-4560-b11f-f6f3379a1d47

Resolution criteria: You’ll have to take my word for it.

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Why would you?

@Predictor I can’t really think of a plausible scenario but I have in the past tended to get carried away with gambling (losing lots of money in Poker). And I have also done things with this app like making trades that make no apparent rational sense and also used this app while not sober, I’ve also deposited small amounts of real money a few times to support bets I felt strongly about at the time I should make. I think my friend made the song in the description that inspired this question with an AI song generator just to show off that cool technology to me and to make light of my poor historical profiteering on this app. I guess if I squint and consider a long enough time horizon there is some non zero chance of an unlikely scenario where this happens.