Will I lose my life savings on manifold before the end of 2024?
12
240Ṁ6385
resolved Jun 17
Resolved
N/A

An AI generated song a friend shared about my tragic bet on manifold which I hope turns out to be fiction:

https://suno.com/song/d994e2e7-29ef-4560-b11f-f6f3379a1d47

Resolution criteria: I’ll show a confirmation of a real money deposit into my account some time in 2025 and resolve “no” if I’m not broke, otherwise question should resolve yes.

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Resolved N/A, creator was banned and deleted account, almost all of the mana traded was the creator, a bot, and a user that was confused about the market criteria.

Owner's account banned and deleted, i guess it's impossible for @Adamlp to lose anything now

So this was about losing your 'real life savings' and not your 'manifold life savings'?

I'm only a tiny bit mad and a little more disappointed. Your resolution conditions do not reflect this whatsoever so this market is super confusing and low quality.

Yes ‘real life savings’. Thanks for the feedback. I’ve updated the resolution condition.

Why would you?

@Predictor I can’t really think of a plausible scenario but I have in the past tended to get carried away with gambling (losing lots of money in Poker). And I have also done things with this app like making trades that make no apparent rational sense and also used this app while not sober, I’ve also deposited small amounts of real money a few times to support bets I felt strongly about at the time I should make. I think my friend made the song in the description that inspired this question with an AI song generator just to show off that cool technology to me and to make light of my poor historical profiteering on this app. I guess if I squint and consider a long enough time horizon there is some non zero chance of an unlikely scenario where this happens.

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