Will someone write the book "Paul Christiano and the Methods of Rationality" by EOY2045?
3
Ṁ100Ṁ552046
51%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
If Alex Zhu were to get qEEG, would his z-score for Fz low-beta power be higher than his z-score for Fz theta power?
50% chance
Will someone write the book "Michael Trazzi and the Methods of Rationality" by EOY2045?
38% chance
x
45% chance
Will someone write the book "Sam Altman and the Methods of Rationality" by EOY2045?
45% chance
Will someone write the book "Elon Musk and the Methods of Rationality" by EOY2045?
41% chance
Will a book called "Alexey Guzey and The Methods of Rationality" (AGMOR) be written by EOY2045?
48% chance
Will a book titled "Jeremy Nixon and The Methods of Rationality" (JNMOR) be written by EOY2045?
50% chance
Will someone write the book "Jose Luis Ricon and Methods of Rationality" by EOY2045?
50% chance
Will we have biography of >50 of the rationalists/EAs/TESCREALS written by Chen Shou, Sima Qian, or Plutarch by EOY2050?
59% chance
Will Chris Olah publish a textbook before 2027?
16% chance