Will Russia and Ukraine agree to a ceasefire or other cessation of hostilities before the 100th day of Trump’s term?
40
100Ṁ12kresolved Apr 30
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This is one of 25 props in the tenth annual Narcissist Forecasting Contest, as described here:
https://braff.co/advice/f/announcing-the-2025-narcissist-forecasting-contest
It will be adjudicated by judges as described in the fine print of the entry form:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ1,384 | |
| 2 | Ṁ88 | |
| 3 | Ṁ58 | |
| 4 | Ṁ38 | |
| 5 | Ṁ35 |
People are also trading
Related questions
If Trump is elected, will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine before the 2026 midterms?
70% chance
When will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine?
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire in Trump's First 90 Days?
1% chance
Will Russia and Ukraine announce a ceasefire with an intended duration of at least 28 days before October 1st, 2025?
45% chance
Will Trump end the Russia-Ukraine war within 24 weeks of his inauguration?
4% chance
Will Ukraine and Russia reach a ceasefire -- in agreement or in practice -- by August 2025? 🇷🇺⚔️🇺🇦
29% chance
Will Ukraine and Russia have a cease-fire or peace before 2026?
57% chance
Will Russia/Ukraine break their ceasefire before the end of 2025?
51% chance
Will there be a Ukraine-Russia ceasefire, even if temporary, before the end of Halloween 2025?
55% chance
If Ukraine and Russia agree to a ceasefire, will it last the agreed duration?
39% chance