Will Israel have a national election for Knesset in 2023?
28
closes Dec 31
46%
chance
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Shai avatar
Shai
ShakedKoplewitz avatar
Shaked Koplewitzbought Ṁ100 of NO

The government would have to fall apart by August. They're not doing great but they still have a lot of room and only four months to go.

MarkIngraham avatar
Mark Ingrahamis predicting NO at 49%

@ShakedKoplewitz although israel has had snap elections this one is a catch 22, if they end elections with the reform there's nothing to elect.

The budget is already preliminarily approved and there's no reason it would happen this year.

ShakedKoplewitz avatar
Shaked Koplewitzbought Ṁ55 of NO

This government seems significantly more stable than the previous one (if not without fractures). For there to be an election in 2023 it would have to collapse within half a year or so, which seems unlikely.

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