
See the question on metaculus: https://www.metaculus.com/questions/13471/israeli-knesset-election-in-2023/
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The government would have to fall apart by August. They're not doing great but they still have a lot of room and only four months to go.
@ShakedKoplewitz although israel has had snap elections this one is a catch 22, if they end elections with the reform there's nothing to elect.
The budget is already preliminarily approved and there's no reason it would happen this year.
This government seems significantly more stable than the previous one (if not without fractures). For there to be an election in 2023 it would have to collapse within half a year or so, which seems unlikely.
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14 YES payouts
Ṁ418
Ṁ353
Ṁ333
Ṁ288
Ṁ180
Ṁ82
Ṁ54
Ṁ51
Ṁ27
Ṁ20
12 NO payouts
Ṁ972
Ṁ477
Ṁ140
Ṁ53
Ṁ47
Ṁ34
Ṁ19
Ṁ16



















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