Will the Russian army reach Pokrovsk by Oct 15th?
24
แน1048Oct 15
34%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Will resolve based on the institute for the study of war maps (https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/ukraine-conflict-updates). Resolves YES immediately if any part of Pokrovsk city is marked as "Assesed Russian advances" or "Assesed Russian control" on any of the ISW maps assesing the situation up to Oct 15th. Otherwise resolves NO.
For reference, the situation as of Aug 26th is: https://understandingwar.org/sites/default/files/East%20of%20Pokrovsk%20Battle%20Map%20Draft%20August%2026%2C%202024.png
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