90. Will there be a new legal US real-money prediction market at least half as big as Kalshi in 2022?
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280Ṁ878resolved Feb 1
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From Scott Alexander's Prediction Market predictions for 2022 on Astral Codex Ten: https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/predictions-for-2022-contest
Resolved according to Scott Alexander’s judgment, as given through future posts on Astral Codex Ten.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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