91. Will there be a new illegal but easy-to-use market at least half as big as Kalshi in 2022?

25

Ṁ261Ṁ1.7k

resolved Dec 19

Resolved

NO

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

From Scott Alexander's Prediction Market predictions for 2022 on Astral Codex Ten: https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/predictions-for-2022-contest Resolved according to Scott Alexander’s judgment, as given through future posts on Astral Codex Ten.

Market context

ACX 2022 Predictions

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📢Resolving Based On Answer Received By Creator Via Email. Proof Posted Below:

I expect the same sort of incentives that have allowed Polymarket to form to continue to exist, and Polymarket has some weaknesses, so going YES here.

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