91. Will there be a new illegal but easy-to-use market at least half as big as Kalshi in 2022?
Basic
25
Ṁ1743
resolved Dec 19
Resolved
NO
From Scott Alexander's Prediction Market predictions for 2022 on Astral Codex Ten: https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/predictions-for-2022-contest Resolved according to Scott Alexander’s judgment, as given through future posts on Astral Codex Ten.
#Please Resolve
#ACX 2022 Predictions
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Ṁ1,000
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S3.00
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📢Resolving Based On Answer Received By Creator Via Email. Proof Posted Below:

I expect the same sort of incentives that have allowed Polymarket to form to continue to exist, and Polymarket has some weaknesses, so going YES here.

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