Will the supreme court rule against affirmative action and in what specific way?
Will the supreme court rule against affirmative action and in what specific way?
11
420Ṁ3598resolved Jun 30
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
50%23%
banned, ruling applies more generally than schools or comes with a stringent test or remedy
50%75%
banned, no further conditions apply
1.7%
weakened but not banned, or only applies to harvard/unc
0.2%
no change or strengthened
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
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