Will there be an LLM capable of performing full-time web application hacking by 2025 | Manifold

Will there be an LLM capable of performing full-time web application hacking by 2025

16

1kṀ666

Dec 31

19%

chance

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

This will resolve to “YES” if an LLM is released that is capable of fully attacking a web application in a way that is equivalent to a modern day penetration tester. Currently this is not possible and most automated scanners miss tons of vulnerabilities.

Get

1,000

to start trading!

People are also trading

Will there be a major bioattack by EOY 2025 where an LLM provided relevant information to the attacker(s)?

-4% 1d5% chance

Will LLMs be better than typical white-collar workers on all computer tasks before 2026?

Will LLMs be able to formally verify non-trivial programs by the end of 2025?

Will Apple release its own LLM on par with state of the art LLMs before 2026?

400-point pwn solved by an LLM by 2025

Will there be major breakthrough in LLM Continual Learning before 2026?

Will LLM based systems have debugging ability comparable to a human by 2030?

Will there be an LLM which scores above what a human can do in 2 hours on METR's eval suite before 2026?

Will LLMs become a ubiquitous part of everyday life by June 2026?

Will one of the major LLMs be capable of continual lifelong learning (learning from inference runs) by EOY 2025?

Related questions

Will there be a major bioattack by EOY 2025 where an LLM provided relevant information to the attacker(s)?

Will LLMs be better than typical white-collar workers on all computer tasks before 2026?

Will LLMs be able to formally verify non-trivial programs by the end of 2025?

Will Apple release its own LLM on par with state of the art LLMs before 2026?

400-point pwn solved by an LLM by 2025

Will there be major breakthrough in LLM Continual Learning before 2026?

Will LLM based systems have debugging ability comparable to a human by 2030?

Will there be an LLM which scores above what a human can do in 2 hours on METR's eval suite before 2026?

Will LLMs become a ubiquitous part of everyday life by June 2026?

Will one of the major LLMs be capable of continual lifelong learning (learning from inference runs) by EOY 2025?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms•Privacy