If AI wipes out humanity, this resolves YES if mana still has any value, and NO if it doesn't. Since by definition I won't be around to handle resolution, I'll leave the details of determining that to whoever is, but one suggested procedure could be to attempt to barter mana for resources/social status and resolve YES if any successful trade is made (no matter how poor the exchange rate). I volunteer any remaining mana in my account to be used for this purpose, if needed.
If AI doesn't wipe out humanity, this resolves N/A at close.
To the haters who say "if this resolves NO then by definition it will be worthless to the winners"... well, let's just not think about that too hard.
1,000
3.00@DavidBolin It should resolve YES in that case, but if that bot holds a NO position in this market there's a risk of misresolution.
I also made this to satire the
AI risk markets. Sadly, it is an arb to buy both to 100
@MartinRandall That's up to the AI I guess but in my opinion yes. We will use a very generous definition of value, if it's not utterly useless then that will count as having value.
@A On the other hand if we do get wiped out by AI, that's probably because its values are significantly different from ours, so maybe I shouldn't speculate on whether it will consider mana-chan tweets to have value or not 😂
@ShadowyZephyr Mana could matter either way with the other "wipes out humanity" markets. It's only this market where mana is guaranteed to be useless if it resolves No. Resolving yes only matters if you give your mana to an AI.
@ShadowyZephyr TBH this market is mostly a satire of the AI doom ones, see last paragraph of the description...
@ShadowyZephyr This market also has the fun property that even though I think most people agree it will almost certainly resolve N/A or NO, a rational profit-maximizing trader should still bet YES...
@A Yeah, I was thinking it should converge to 100% for the slim chance that AI values mana (and wipes out humanity).