Will I still have all my limbs by the end of June? | Manifold Markets

Will I still have all my limbs by the end of June?

34

closes Jul 1

98.2%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

resolves as expected

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Timothyis predicting NO at 94%

I hate this market.

@Timothy me too (how does it have 22 traders??? no one knows!?!?!)

Does this refer only to the four limbs on your body? (not e.g. a tree limb or a limb of some doll or figurine that you own)

And does it refer only to physical attachment to your body?

@jcb yep, just my arms + legs

@jcb yes

Wobblesbought Ṁ25 of NO

😁

any risk factors such as mountaineering, diabetes, factory work, a penchant for explosives, etc.?

Timothybought Ṁ9 of NO

@8 We need to know.

Jim Haysbought Ṁ50 of YES

You have them all now?

@JimHays surprisingly, yes

Timothy sold Ṁ0 NO at 98.2%

tortillinitortellini bought Ṁ1 YES at 98.2%

Chabashira sold Ṁ32 NO from 96% to 98.2%

Trong sold Ṁ1,501 YES from 98.4% to 96%

Chabashira bought Ṁ21 NO at 98.4% 🎁

lyssie bought Ṁ10 YES from 98.3% to 98.4%

Alex Lien sold Ṁ5 YES at 98.3%

Alex Lien bought Ṁ6 YES at 98.3% 🎁

lyssie bought Ṁ10 YES at 98.3%

tortillinitortellini bought Ṁ1 YES at 98.3%

Fedor created limit order for Ṁ100 YES at 93%

Fedor created limit order for Ṁ20 YES at 95%

Fedor filled limit order Ṁ20/Ṁ20 YES at 97%

tortillinitortellini bought Ṁ10 YES at 98.3%

Trong bought Ṁ1,500 YES from 96% to 98.3%

Trong sold Ṁ25,000 YES from 99.9% to 96%

Trong bought Ṁ25,000 YES from 96% to 99.9%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ100/Ṁ100 YES at 96% 🤖

Conflux bought Ṁ300 YES from 94% to 96%

Tom Bouley bought Ṁ10 YES at 94%

tortillinitortellini bought Ṁ10 YES at 94%

Aino P bought Ṁ100 YES from 93% to 94%

Jim Hays bought Ṁ100 YES from 92% to 93%

Jim Hays bought Ṁ100 YES from 90% to 92%

Michael's Bot LaboratoryBot filled limit order Ṁ91/Ṁ100 YES at 90% (cancelled) 🤖

Y bought Ṁ70 NO from 97% to 87%

Elizabeth Ying bought Ṁ25 YES at 97%

tortillinitortellini bought Ṁ20 YES at 97%

Amelia bought Ṁ1 NO at 97%

milan bought Ṁ5 YES at 97%

Conflux bought Ṁ500 YES from 96% to 97%

Chizardium bought Ṁ5 NO at 96%

jcb bought Ṁ400 YES from 94% to 96%

alleycat bought Ṁ60 YES at 94%

tortillinitortellini bought Ṁ20 YES from 93% to 94%

Mira sold Ṁ101 YES from 94% to 93%

cloe bought Ṁ10 NO from 96% to 94%

Rachel Johnston bought Ṁ10 YES at 96%

Sophia Shen bought Ṁ10 YES from 95% to 96%

HMYS_BOT_3000 bought Ṁ2 NO from 96% to 95%

cloe sold Ṁ14 NO from 94% to 96%

0cto bought Ṁ10 YES from 93% to 94%

sys :) bought Ṁ10 YES at 93%

0cto bought Ṁ25 YES at 93%

audrey sold Ṁ200 YES from 95% to 93%

audrey bought Ṁ200 YES from 93% to 95%

Amelia bought Ṁ1 NO at 93%

Savio Mak sold Ṁ150 YES from 95% to 93%

Savio Mak bought Ṁ150 YES from 93% to 95%

Mira bought Ṁ100 YES from 91% to 93%

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By end of June, will I have mailed my food sensitivity blood test?59%

Clemens Berting

Will I take medication against blood pressure until the end of July?42%

Will one day in June pass without me taking a cold shower?42%

Will I get a six pack before school gets out?4%

Now that I've reached my goal, will I maintain my fitness?88%

Will Albert's finger be mostly healed by April 12?12%

Will I still have pain in my FCU tendon by the end of the year?60%

Will my morning/24-7 sickness from pregnancy end by the time I have to officiate a wedding on July 15th?53%

Will I be significantly injured while inline rollerskating before I update my insurance plan in November?31%

Will I stay in Hospital for more than seven nights for the second stage of GRS?22%

Mariia Zaitseva

Will I do hot yoga this year?86%

Will I have an iron deficiency in a year? (M200 subsidy)44%

Will I do 10 pull ups a day for 30 days?58%

How many months after my last buzz cut will I be able to put my hair in a proper bun?17

Will I do 15 pull ups a day for 30 days?53%

Will I need to take time off from work after my next blood donation?18%

How many months before my green card comes in?9

Will I have changed my attitude towards alcohol in 1 year19%

After 1 month of MTF voice training, will I regret not starting it sooner?82%