Will Elon Musk talk to Eliezer Yudkowsky about AI alignment in 2023? | Manifold Markets

Данила Торопицын

closes Dec 31

Eliezer Yudkowsky

Will Elon Musk talk to Eliezer Yudkowsky about AI alignment in 2023?

31%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Market resolves if they talk about it in person or through the call (not just exchange a few tweets)

Feb 22, 12:16pm: ~~Will Elon Mask talk to Eliezer Yudkowsky about AI alignment in 2023?~~ → Will Elon Musk talk to Eliezer Yudkowsky about AI alignment in 2023?

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YES shares

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142

40

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35

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28

NO shares

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103

65

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Michael's Bot LaboratoryBot

35

33

Curtis Docherty

15

Eliezer Yudkowsky

14

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AccelerationBot

12

7

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Fela bought Ṁ10 YES from 30% to 31%

Tesseract bought Ṁ45 NO from 32% to 30%

Michael's Bot LaboratoryBot filled limit order Ṁ33/Ṁ40 NO at 32% (cancelled)

Barnaby Colvin bought Ṁ50 YES from 28% to 34%

tcheasdfjkl bought Ṁ10 NO from 29% to 28%

Jakub Kraus bought Ṁ10 YES from 27% to 29%

RBGreen bought Ṁ10 YES from 25% to 27%

Robin Green bought Ṁ10 NO from 26% to 25%

Quate bought Ṁ10 YES from 24% to 26%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ38/Ṁ100 NO at 24% (cancelled)

goldenes56 bought Ṁ33 YES from 20% to 27%

Alex Amadori sold Ṁ10 YES from 22% to 20%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ11/Ṁ100 NO at 22% (cancelled)

yaboi69 bought Ṁ50 NO from 26% to 23%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ12/Ṁ100 YES at 26% (cancelled)

Alex Amadori sold Ṁ12 YES from 26% to 23%

Alex Amadori sold Ṁ10 YES from 28% to 26%

Orlando Moreno bought Ṁ1 NO at 28%

Orlando Moreno bought Ṁ1 NO from 29% to 28%

Alex Amadori created limit order for Ṁ30 NO at 39%

Andrew Kvapil bought Ṁ5 NO at 29%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ8/Ṁ100 NO at 29% (cancelled)

harfe sold Ṁ53 NO from 25% to 30%

Michael's Bot LaboratoryBot filled limit order Ṁ7/Ṁ9 YES at 25% (cancelled)

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ10/Ṁ100 YES at 23% (cancelled)

Eric Jang bought Ṁ100 NO from 29% to 20%

harfe bought Ṁ20 NO from 31% to 29%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ1/Ṁ100 YES at 31% (cancelled)

harfe bought Ṁ30 NO from 35% to 30%

Curtis Docherty bought Ṁ10 NO from 37% to 35%

Jason bought Ṁ10 YES from 33% to 37%

James Bills bought Ṁ20 NO from 38% to 33%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ7/Ṁ100 NO at 38% (cancelled)

Isaac sold Ṁ29 NO from 33% to 40%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ3/Ṁ100 YES at 33% (cancelled)

Isaac bought Ṁ30 NO from 38% to 31%

Alex Amadori created limit order for Ṁ20 NO at 55% (cancelled)

Alex Amadori created limit order for Ṁ20 NO at 50% (cancelled)

Michael's Bot LaboratoryBot filled limit order Ṁ10/Ṁ11 NO at 38% (cancelled)

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ20/Ṁ100 NO at 41% (cancelled)

Alex Amadori bought Ṁ50 YES from 27% to 48%

James Bills bought Ṁ15 NO from 29% to 27%

Eliezer Yudkowsky bought Ṁ10 NO from 32% to 29%

PS bought Ṁ10 NO from 35% to 32%

Jakob Brünker bought Ṁ10 YES from 26% to 35%

yaboi69 bought Ṁ25 NO from 41% to 26%

PS bought Ṁ10 NO from 50% to 41%

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Will Elon Musk do something as a result of his AI angst by 2025?

If Elon Musk does something as a result of his AI angst by 2025, will Eliezer Yudkowsky judge it to be a positive or neutral initiative (as opposed to negative)?

Will Elon Musk announce the creation of a new AI company before 2024?

Will Elon Musk open source the twitter Algorithm? (in 2023)

Will Lex Fridman interview Elon by 2024?

Will Elon Musk show up on the Joe Rogan's Podcast on year 2023?

Marcus Aurelius

Will I have met Elon Musk by 2024?

Will Elon Musk testify to the U.S. Congress in 2023?

Will Elon Musk be Tesla's CEO through 2023?

Will Elon Musk sue Open AI before the end of 2023 in a US court?