Will GPT-5 be capable of achieving superhuman performance in at least one exam that is typically taken by humans?
9
190Ṁ338
2030
91%
chance

Resolved to YES if there is at least one exam that humans typically take, where GPT-5 or an equivalent flagship model from OpenAI displays superhuman performance. The exact name 'GPT-5' is not necessary.

Edit: To be ‘superhuman’, a GPT-5 or equivalent model has to score higher than the best humans on the same task. If they tie, it only counts if both have a perfect score.

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