From Edward Grefenstette, Director of Research at Google Deepmind: https://twitter.com/egrefen/status/1699128376299041244
"I will be posting (probably next week) some job listings for a new team I’m hiring into at @GoogleDeepmind. I’ll be looking for some research scientists and engineers with a strong engineering background to help build increasingly autonomous language agents. Watch this space."
The question will be resolved as "YES" if Google Deepmind reveals their autonomous agent between January 1, 2024, and December 31, 2024.
Update 2025-01-01 (PST): - Autonomous: interpreted broadly as not necessarily completely autonomous without human supervision. (AI summary of creator comment)
1,000
3.00🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ1,178 | |
| 2 | Ṁ71 | |
| 3 | Ṁ40 | |
| 4 | Ṁ39 | |
| 5 | Ṁ32 |
Update 2025-01-01 (PST): - Autonomous: interpreted broadly as not necessarily completely autonomous without human supervision. (AI summary of creator comment)
When was this update added?
Should resolve as YES. Google revealed its autonomous AI agents on December 11th 2024.
https://www.wired.com/story/google-gemini-2-ai-assistant-release/
@JohnTackman
They are not fully autonomous. But the market description refers to "increasingly autonomous language agents", not to fully autonomous ones.
@ChaosIsALadder but the market is:
Will Google Deepmind reveal their own autonomous agent in 2024?
They did not, so should resolve as NO
@JohnTackman I sold because there’s some ambiguity about whether "autonomous" should be interpreted as "fully autonomous" (an extremely high, arguably unachievable bar, since we’re unlikely to ever grant a machine full autonomy) or as "semi-autonomous" (meaning having some degree of autonomy).
However, I’m still the largest YES holder because I believe the correct interpretation is the latter. This is supported by Edward Grefenstette’s setting of a low bar ("increasingly autonomous") and the market title’s reference to it as "Google Deepmind's autonomous agent."
@ChaosIsALadder Sorry guys, I should have been clearer about what I meant by 'autonomous'. When there's ambiguity in terminology, I think it's better to interpret it broadly. So It doesn't necessarily mean completely autonomous without human supervision. I'll resolve this question as Yes.