This market will resolve NO (and otherwise YES) if, by Dec. 31 2025, 11:59pm GMT -3 (Argentina's time zone), there havent been any new (since market creation date) sudden events, or "plot twists" that significantly change the expectations and context for 2026. I (market creator) will judge this based on my personal opinon, and therefore i will not trade on the market.

A "big plot twist" could look something like:
- a high profile assassination (such as Charlie Kirk's)
- an invasion or new military conflict (such as the Twelve-Day War between Israel and Iran)
- a big, sudden and unexpected technological breakthrough (An AI company announcing they have achieved test time training)

I will take into consideration aspects such as global relevance (so, big events that are exclusively of interest to the US wouldn't count) and media attention, but the main thing i will be looking for is, as i said before, the degree to which an event modifies our outlook for the next year compared to the market creation date.
Please feel free to ask for clarifications on resolution criteria and suggest events.

• Update 2025-12-21 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will resolve based on events that occur by the end of 2025, but the creator may wait up to a week or two after December 31, 2025 before resolving to account for information about events that may not be immediately known.