Will the market "Will this market reach 1%?" be at 2% for more than 30% of its duration?
8
100Ṁ148Oct 26
70%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
When this market closes, i will run a script and get from the API every trade. I will then calculate based on the timestamps for how long the probability has been between 2.0 and 2.99 (or 0.020 to 0.029 in the api probability field).
it will start counting whenever the first trade happened, and end at market close time.
This resolves YES if the probability stays between 2.0 and 2.99... for at least 30% of the time
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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