Will this market reach 4%?
28
178Ṁ1.1m
resolved Oct 25
Resolved
NO

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve "Yes" if the displayed probability for the "Yes" outcome on this specific market reaches or falls below 4.0% at any point before the market's scheduled close. The resolution will be based on the probability displayed on the market page, and the markets trading history.

This market will resolve "No" if the displayed probability for the "Yes" outcome on this specific market never reaches or falls below 4.0% before the market's scheduled close. The resolution will be based on the probability displayed on the market page. Prediction markets assign probabilities to events, with the price of a "Yes" share typically reflecting the market's collective belief in the probability of that outcome.

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lmao oops, I guess I fucked up my limit orders somewhere along the lines

almost perfectly cancelled out my profit from the 1% market

@retr0id yeah uhhhhh I fucked up the math, had far too many YES limits and they got bought up. well at least I fucked up here and not in the 1% market where I had almost 100k at stake lol

@retr0id

bros largest loss multiplied by almost a order of magnitude

@121 yerp

filled a Ṁ19,000 NO at 5% order

this site is soooo laggy it kept crashing

opened aṀ2,000YES at 5% order

@Simon74fe bro what

idk what you're cooking

@Bayesian I took inspiration from Robincvgr

bought Ṁ5 YES

@Simon74fe right right carry on

@Simon74fe good endgame but what's the point of loading up with YES at the start?

filled a Ṁ10,000 NO at 5% order

@Bayesian Can't hurt, you always sell

it does hurt it makes another whale more involved so more likely to compete for this endgame play

Hell, I cannot sell this because I bought at 24%

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