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MANIFOLD
Will any frontier model support a 10M+ token context window before 2028?
3
Ṁ100Ṁ60
2028
31%
chance

This market resolves YES if, by Dec. 31 2027 11:59PM, any frontier LLM available to the public has the ability to include at least 10 million tokens of context. The model MUST be available to the public, either through non whitelisted API access or open weights. Just announcements wouldn't count.

By selecting for 'frontier' i intend to exclude very small, experimental models. I will judge this subjectively, therefore i will not trade on this market.

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