MANIFOLD
Which party gains most seats in Argentina Deputies Election?
23
Ṁ1.1kṀ15k
resolved Nov 24
100%99.2%
LLA (La Libertad Avanza)
0.5%
UP (Unión por la Patria)
0.3%Other

[Mirrors Polymarket]
https://polymarket.com/event/which-party-wins-most-seats-in-argentina-deputies-election


The 2025 election for half of the seats in Argentina's Chamber of Deputies is scheduled to be held on October 26, 2025.

This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of the seats that are contested in this election.

If voting in the next Argentine election for the Chamber of Deputies does not occur by January 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.

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i hate UMA !!!!!

the polymarket resolution is taking so long !! i see no point in reopening though

La Nacion just reported that the exchange rate for USD stablecoins just fell by 8%. It's amazing how as soon as the coalition openly pushing for a default loses, markets immediately become much less pessimistic about Argentina's future.

bought Ṁ500 YES

Amazing

@MiguelSanchezB insane to see. like, were they actually expecting a panic so big it would break through the band ceiling?

bought Ṁ500 YES

pretty much, USDT has been trading above it since kirchnerists won the PBA election in early september, and periodically fell below it with Bessent's announcements

are there any results out yet? why is this market so decided?

@someoneR5c8l there are plenty of leaks being shared all over social media as well as in Argentina's national news outlets

It's unsettling how the "moderate" Argentine left, in a fiscal crisis with shallow pools of capital, is not being shy about ending the fiscal surplus to give away prohibitively expensive retirements, defaulting, reinstating tariffs, effectively banning many FDI projects, and reinstating absurdly restrictive capital controls.

They've learned nothing. It's no wonder financial markets crash by double digit percentage points every time these people win a significant election.

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