Grok 5 considered AGI by Elon Musk?
5
100Ṁ281
2026
14%
chance

This market resolves YES if Elon Musk says he considers Grok 5 to be AGI.
Grok 5 means the model and variations named Grok 5 (Grok 5 Pro, Grok 5 Code, Grok 5 Fast), and any of them being called AGI will count. A Grok 5.5, 5.1, 5.7, or other number variation wouldn't count.

Elon has to refer to it as full AGI, not "very close to" or "at moments", or similar partial statements. The definition of AGI will be the one Elon uses too: "Capable of doing anything a human with a computer can do", though Grokipedia could be used as a secondary source.
Date will be extended if necessary until Grok 5 releases. If Grok 5 is skipped, this resolves N/A. If xAI blows up and never releases a model again, this will resolve NO.

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