Will our friend J. get a 6-pack by his wedding in 14 months?
4
1kṀ121
2026
44%
chance

Our friend Joseph is currently on a weight loss journey, he started at 118 kg and is already down around 18 kg.

He recently proposed to his Girlfriend. Wedding will take place in November 2026 and J. started a bet with a few friends on whether he can get a six-pack or not until then. Obviously he is convinced that three lifting sessions a week and a decent caloric deficit will help him get there in time.

Starting weight: 100.2 kg
Height: 183 cm
Additional superpower: Using wegovy

  • Update 2025-08-07 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will resolve based on whether J. achieves a 6-pack by the wedding, not whether he can sustain it after the wedding.

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So you're looking for predictions that he'll have a 6-pack until the wedding and then lose it after?

@WilliamGunn simpler: looking for predictions about whether he will get there. Not if he can sustain it. But that's a great idea for a second run!

@23Ro OK, if that's what you mean, you might want to say "by" instead of "until" (unless you want to confuse Americans).

@WilliamGunn appreciated & fixed it

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