Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to YES if California Proposition 39 (the "Voter Identification, Citizenship Verification, and Registered Voter List Administration Initiative") passes in the November 3, 2026, general election. It will resolve to NO if the proposition fails to pass.

Resolution will be based on the official certified election results published by the California Secretary of State (accessible on the official election results site). Unofficial, preliminary, or election-night results will not be used for final resolution.

If certification is delayed due to recounts, audits, or legal challenges, the market will remain open until a final certified result or binding determination is issued by California election officials or the courts.

Background

Proposition 39 is an initiative constitutional amendment on California's November 3, 2026, general election ballot. If approved by a majority of voters, it would:

• Amend the California Constitution to require voters to present government-issued identification to vote in person.

• Require voters using mail-in ballots to write the last four digits of a designated government-issued identification number on their ballot envelope.

• Mandate that the state provide free voter identification cards to eligible voters who request them.

Currently, California does not require voters to show identification at polling places in most circumstances.

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