Who am I thinking of? (guessing game) [💣SHORT FUSE]
Who am I thinking of? (guessing game) [💣SHORT FUSE]
26
200Ṁ4803
resolved May 24
100%99.0%
Sam Denby (Wendover)
0.4%
Resolves to this if nobody gets the right answer
0.1%
Elon Musk
0.0%
Zvi Mowshowitz
0.2%
Brodie Smith
0.3%Other
  • I'm thinking of a specific real person or fictional character. At market closing time (and not before), if someone has added the person I'm thinking of to the market, it will resolve to the person. If the person I'm thinking of has not been added to the market, it will be extended for 1 more week, after which the answer will be revealed.

  • Each user can ask one yes-or-no-question in the comments every twelve hours, which I will try to answer in a reasonable time (note at time of market creation: I might go to bed in a couple hours but I'll answer the first batch of questions quickly)

  • I may reject meta-questions that reveal too much (e.g. "have they already been added to this market") at my discretion.

Sorry for low liquidity, keeping it low to make it cheap to add answers.

I will not bet in this market, of course.

Inspired by https://manifold.markets/remedyrain/who-am-i-guessing-game, attempting to better structure it

  • Update 2025-05-17 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has clarified that the person they are thinking of is real. This means fictional characters, originally permitted by the market description, are now excluded.

  • Resolves to placeholder if nobody gets the right answer

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