I'm thinking of a specific real person or fictional character. Let's see if you can guess who it is!

CURRENT PRIZE VALUE: Ṁ400

Rules:

1. At market closing time (and not before), if someone has added the person I'm thinking of to the market, it will resolve to the person. If the person I'm thinking of has not been added to the market, the closing time will be extended for another week.

2. Each user can ask one yes/no question in the comments every 8 hours, and I will try to answer in a timely manner. The answers I give will be limited to "yes," "no," and "unknown."

3. If your question does not follow the parameters I've set, or if it has too much gray area/a simple "yes" or "no" would be misleading, I will reply with "rephrase." You do not have to wait 8 hours to rephrase your question.

4. I may refuse to answer meta questions ("has the person already been added to this market," "does the person’s name have X number of letters," etc.) at my discretion.

5. If you have a guess for who I'm thinking of, add your answer to the market. (I will not answer point-blank questions along the lines of "is it this specific person.") You may add as many answers as you like; initial liquidity is low to facilitate addition of answers.

6. The user who adds the correct answer will receive a prize upon resolution of the market. The prize starts at Ṁ500 and decreases by Ṁ100 each time the market closing time is extended, with a minimum prize value of Ṁ100.

I will not bet in this market.

Check out the WAITO dashboard for other ongoing and past iterations of this kind of market!

• Update 2025-06-24 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The person is not a fictional character.

• Update 2025-06-24 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Based on a Q&A, the person being thought of has the following attributes:

  • Is male.

  • Was born before 1900.

• Update 2025-06-25 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Based on a Q&A, the person is not best known for creating entertainment.

• Update 2025-06-26 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Based on a Q&A, the person is American.

• Update 2025-06-26 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Based on a Q&A, the company the person was known for was not founded before 1850.

• Update 2025-06-27 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Based on a Q&A, the person is not best known for creating entertainment.

• Update 2025-06-27 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Based on a Q&A, the person was born between 1800 and 1860.

• Update 2025-06-28 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Based on a Q&A, the person was a billionaire in 2025 US dollars, according to a ChatGPT inflation-adjusted estimate.

• Update 2025-06-28 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has clarified the source for the clue that the person was a billionaire in 2025 US dollars:

  • The determination was made using a ChatGPT estimate.

  • This method was used because historical sources on the person's peak net worth vary. ChatGPT was used to collate these sources and provide an estimate.

• Update 2025-06-30 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Based on a Q&A, the person died after turning 70.

• Update 2025-06-30 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has clarified that in the context of the Q&A, the term company is interpreted as a for-profit company.

• Update 2025-07-02 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Based on a Q&A, the company the person founded is still in business.