MANIFOLD
US government shutdown by April 1, 2026?
41
Ṁ100Ṁ2.3k
resolved Feb 1
Resolved
YES

Resolves YES if the US Office of Personnel Management announces a federal government shutdown (including a partial shutdown) due to a lapse in appropriations on the operating status page by 11:59pm ET, March 31st, 2026.


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Gov shutdown
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Am I misreading something? AFAICT this should be higher than the chance of a shutdown in January. (Such an announcement in Jan should be "an announcement by March 31) And we'd expect such a page for any lapse in appropriations.

@EricMoyer yes, you're right, i don't know why it is lower

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