MANIFOLD
Will the DHS partial shutdown end by April 15, 2026?
2
Ṁ200Ṁ250
Apr 15
16%
chance

Resolution Criteria

Resolves YES if the Department of Homeland Security partial government shutdown ends (DHS receives full or continuing resolution funding) by April 15, 2026.

Context: The DHS shutdown has lasted 40+ days as of March 26. TSA employees have missed over $1 billion in paychecks. 480+ TSA officers have left, causing airport wait times exceeding 4.5 hours. A Senate vote is scheduled for March 26 on a GOP proposal, but Democrats rejected it. Trump wants the SAVE America Act included in any deal.

Resolves NO if DHS remains unfunded (even partially) as of April 15, 2026.

Market context
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