Will a Hezbollah missile kill someone in Tel Aviv in 2024?
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แน1385resolved Jan 2
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On 25 September 2024 Hezbollah launched a missile at Tel Aviv that was intercepted by Israeli air defense and resulted in no casualties. This market is intended to work as a proxy for whether Hezbollah will succeed in any further missile attacks on Tel Aviv.
Resolves YES if credible sources report that a missile fired by Hezbollah before 1 January 2025 Tel Aviv time killed someone in Tel Aviv. Otherwise resolves NO.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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