When will the Israeli invasion of Lebanon be over?
32
1kṀ7000
2026
92%
By 1 January 2026
85%
By 1 October 2025
77%
By 1 July 2025
65%
By 1 April 2025

A date resolves NO if the "Status" of the conflict on Wikipedia is marked as "Ongoing" at any point during the date Lebanon time (editing conflicts excluded). Once the conflict is no longer marked as ongoing, all remaining answers will resolve YES.

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
Sort by:

January 1 should resolve NO

bought Ṁ400 NO

December 1 should resolve NO

bought Ṁ20 YES

Great market with clear resolution criteria!

@Primer Thank you!

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules