Will the United Healthcare CEO shooter be caught by June 2025?
96
1kṀ64k
resolved Dec 11
Resolved
YES

I see no reason to be hasty but I do anticipate closing this soonish.

Possible clarification from creator (AI generated):

  • Market will resolve YES if the shooter is found dead

Possible clarification from creator (AI generated): The shooter does not need to be convicted to resolve YES - being caught/found is sufficient.

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Hard to say for sure, but these cases don’t always go cold as fast as people think. With how advanced IP and geolocation analytics have become  I’ve checked out breakdowns like https://www.iplocation.net/how-geolocation-and-ip-analytics-are-reshaping-modern-industries it’s surprising how much digital trace can be recovered even months later. From my own experience using similar tools for analytics, they can reveal way more than you expect. So yeah, there’s definitely a chance things move quietly behind the scenes.

A lot of these discussions about healthcare chaos remind me how much smoother things get when tech actually works for people. I once came across this resource https://macsources.com/advancing-healthcare-access-solutions-in-pharmacy-app-development/ and it showed how well-built pharmacy apps can fix basic access issues. After trying similar tools myself, the improvement in speed and clarity was noticeable.

**** I think this is resolved

why you don't resolve for yes?

bought Ṁ250 YES

@francescogiachettomena think we're waiting for a final 'yes he did it' update

I am in a strange way disappointed that he seems to have been caught carrying a bunch of clear evidence of guilt. I had built up a mental image of the killer being an incredibly smooth operator - and assumed that all the evidence would have been destroyed or disposed of on the day of the killing.

Extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence, and most criminals are stupid.

I see no reason to be hasty but I do anticipate closing this soonish.

@zax I mean now he's been charged, it's def the guy

I probably should ask: What do you mean by "caught"

If this is the guy I'll resolve it to yes

@zax does that mean he has to be convicted?

No

How does this resolve the shooter is found dead?

@nonnihil yes I think

@TheWabiSabi correct

Not sure if it's a white or a black pill, but interesting to see that even the rich in America only have 50% better odds of having their murders solved than the average Joe.

A single atypical murder should not be used to make class generalizations without deeper analysis

@Lop clearance rates for murders in NY are only 50%. I think the fact this murder is atypical probably makes it less likely to be solved, not more. The fact this is trading at 75% reflects the market's belief that the police is going to go the extra mile on this one, because it's a high profile case that involves a rich guy.

bought Ṁ10 NO

@Odoacre I was thinking the same way. Ppl have too much faith in the system. It's not as good as we think it may be.

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