Will the makeup of the US Supreme Court change before January 20th, 2025 at 12pm ET?
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Resolves Yes if any of the current nine justices leaves office in any way (resigns, dies, impeached, etc.) during the specified time period, or if a tenth justice joins them. A tenth slot on the court opening up would not by itself be sufficient to resolve this market, nor would a resignation conditional on the confirmation of a successor, if no such judge were actually appointed.
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