Will Matt Gaetz be Donald Trump's first Attorney General?
Plus
77
Ṁ19k2025
43%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Refers to the first person in Trump's second term who is nominated, confirmed by the Senate, and appointed to the post, or who receives a recess appointment.
I may push the close date back if needed.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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This is one of the few times where I feel [Aumann's agreement theorem](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Aumann%27s_agreement_theorem) working.
I did not expect it to be this low and now don't feel confident moving this above 30%
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