Will there be >5 human cases of Guinea worm disease in 2023?
13
270Ṁ4977
resolved Oct 4
Resolved
YES

As of September 7th there have only been 2 cases this year, both in Chad. This compares to 13 cases in 2022. https://www.cartercenter.org/health/guinea_worm/case-totals.html

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I wish I had made it clearer whether I would resolve based on provisional numbers or the final certified numbers that are released in March-ish. I'm resolving now based on the provisional numbers because I think it's unlikely the certified numbers will be <6. If that ends up not being the case, comment here after the certified numbers are released and I'll make you whole.

predictedYES

@zQ4Z82W can you resolve?

Stats in the link have been updated on 02/10

Now it looks like this should resolve to YES, saving a verification correction.

You all might want to reconsider your positions. Although I took as much as I could get 😁 💰

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