MANIFOLD
How many people will be involuntarily removed from the 2026 SOTU?
2
Ṁ300Ṁ43
Feb 26
46%
0
22%
1
33%
2+

What counts: Any individual (guest or politician) physically escorted, ejected, or arrested and removed from the House Chamber or gallery by security/police.

What DOES NOT count: Voluntary walkouts. If people leave on their own, it does not count.

Timeframe: From the Sergeant at Arms announcing the President until the President exits the chamber tonight (Feb 24, 2026).

Verification: Official US Capitol Police (USCP) reports, AP/Reuters pool reports, or clear video evidence.

Market context
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy