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Pakistan have been mathematically eliminated. Even if they win now their NRR won't be enough to qualify. This can be resolved. Pakistan No and New Zealand Yes.

England won't qualify even in a best case scenario. So it can be resolved to No.

India and SA will qualify even in the worst case scenario. So they should resolve to Yes.

Cricket dashboard https://manifold.markets/dashboard/november-cricket

November Cricket

All cricket related manifold markets.

@Awex love it, do you know why my Rishabh Pant market isn't on there?

@BDStraw I can see it there. Just had to scroll down a bit.

@Awex my apologies I am dumb. Great work!

Can Afghanistan be added?

@Awex No, I was dumb, I thought they had no chance! We can make a separate market…

@yawnstantine Ill make one

@yawnstantine https://manifold.markets/Awex/will-afghanistan-make-the-semi-fina?r=QXdleA

Will Afghanistan 🇦🇫 make the semi finals of the Cricket 🏏 World Cup?

48% chance. Afghanistan have a chance if they win 2/3 of their remaining games, and can almost guarantee qualification if they win all 3. They have to play the Netherlands 🇳🇱, Australia 🇦🇺, and South Africa 🇿🇦 in that order.

Please resolve Bangladesh to NO, they are mathematically eliminated.

New cricket WC market.

WHEN (not if) pak lose tomorrow, their back will really be to the wall... they will be on the outside of SA, NZ, IND, ENG looking in. and the other piece we need to consider - they have a lineup that can win any game, but they are really not structured to be NRR merchants like ENG or SA are.

To get 6 wins will require 2-2 against NZ, SA, ENG, AUS (less than 50% chance) and 2-0 against BAN and AFG (let's call that a 75ish% chance for the sake of argument). Any NRR considerations and they're even less likely. Math just doesn't add up for PAK!

@BDStraw #PAKWATCH update... bookies seem to like AUS tomorrow but I'm highly highly skeptical. It really all comes down to the AUS powerplay, and I favor Shaheen and Hasan Ali over Warner and Bison with the new ball........ I have just lost all confidence in AUS's batting. If PAK wins tomorrow, I will personally apologize to Mo Rizwan and Babar for what I've written above.