Will a quantum computer factor the RSA-2048 challenge number before 2035?
Basic
4
Ṁ352035
45%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolution Criteria:
A report published in a peer-reviewed scientific journal demonstrating only a quantum computer was used to obtain the factorization answers for RSA-2048
challenge number.
The RSA-2048 challenge number can be found on Wikipedia:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will a quantum computer factor the RSA-2048 challenge number before 2030?
30% chance
Will a quantum computer factor the RSA-2048 challenge number before 2050?
52% chance
Will a quantum computer factor the RSA-2048 challenge number before 2040?
52% chance
Will Quantum computing break RSA encryption before 2030?
30% chance
Will a quantum computer prove capable of breaking 2048 bit RSA encryption by 2030?
20% chance
Will a quantum computer factor a 6-bit number before 2026?
37% chance
Will 1024-bit RSA be broken by a quantum computer by 2025?
1% chance
Will a quantum computer show a clear advantage vs classical computers in solving a major cryptographic problem by 2030?
41% chance
When will Quantum computing become viable?
2034
Will the prime factors of RSA-1024 be known by 2030?
19% chance