Will a conscious computer be built before 2030?
Basic
1
Ṁ10
2030
45%
chance

Resolution Criteria:

This question will resolve to Yes if, before January 1st 2030, a formal declaration is publicly released by a group of experts, stating that computers should be considered to possess consciousness.

Each of these criteria must be met:

  1. The declaration must be an official, publicly released document by a reputable institution or published in a peer reviewed science journal.

  2. The declaration must be signed by at least 10 experts.

  3. Each signatory must hold a PhD from an accredited university and in a relevant field (e.g., neuroscience, cognitive science, artificial intelligence, philosophy of mind).

  4. Each signatory must hold a faculty or research position at an accredited university or research institution or reputable company.

  5. Each signatory must have a past history of published peer-reviewed scientific research which may include computer science.

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Also what objective standard are you using for validity of PhD, accreditation of university, reputability of company etc?

@TheAllMemeingEye fixed that.

What exact definition of consciousness are you using? There may be such a declaration that rather than directly using that word gives a more precise description in a grey area

@TheAllMemeingEye I don’t have a good definition of consciousness. People don’t agree on a good definition. That is why I have the expert agreement as a requirement for the resolution criteria.

Arguably the only relevant PhD would be one in philosophy.

@lxgr included that.

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