Before what year will a conscious computer be built?
Basic
3
Ṁ50
2100
15%
2030
15%
2040
15%
2050
15%
2075
15%
2100
23%
Never

Resolution Criteria:

This question will resolve to Yes if a formal declaration is publicly released by a group of experts, stating that computers should be considered to possess consciousness.

Each of these criteria must be met:

  1. The declaration must be an official, publicly released document by a reputable institution or published in a peer reviewed science journal.

  2. The declaration must be signed by at least 10 experts.

  3. Each signatory must hold a PhD from an accredited university and in a relevant field (e.g., neuroscience, cognitive science, artificial intelligence, philosophy of mind).

  4. Each signatory must hold a faculty or research position at an accredited university or research institution or reputable company.

The correct answer will resolve to the earliest date. For example if a conscious computer meeting these requirements is built in 2025 then the correct answer is 2030.


Never means that a conscious computer meeting those requirements is impossible to build. If the year is 2101 and a conscious computer meeting those requirements is not built then the question will resolve to Never.

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