Beware: this is a serious market with a “beyond a reasonable doubt” standard; the burden of proof is on the YES side.

Resolves YES if the Second Moot theory is credibly proven before April 2023. Examples of sufficient proof for a few possible scenarios:

• voluntarily released psychiatric DID diagnoses performed by two independent mental health professionals,

• a law enforcement statement including a mugshot and the name of the evil twin (if the good brother remains free and keeps streaming),

• authors of the AI digital avatar, or makers of the android, publish an extensive documentation of their experiment in a reputable academic journal,

• video broadcasts where some kind of disguise, mimicry, shapeshifting or illusion magic can be unmistakably identified,

if the source is beyond reproach and falsification can be ruled out.

Resolves NO otherwise.