Will FDA approve any mRNA vaccine against any type of human papillomavirus infection before 2028?
Mini
3
30
2027
36%
chance

Resolves YES if the FDA grants full approval for the commercial sale of any mRNA-based vaccine for the treatment of any type of human papillomavirus infection in the United States before January 1, 2028. This does not include emergency use authorization or other forms of limited authorization. Resolves NO otherwise.

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