The follow up to this market is here! If I make a Manifold account claiming to be @MarkIngraham, will it get banned within a week?N/A
@MarkIngraham makes a bold claim here:
Let's try it out. At some arbitrarily chosen time this week, I will flip a coin to decide whether to change my currently secret alt account's name to "Mustang" or to resolve this market N/A. Regardless of the flip, the market will only be resolved a week after closing, to give time for the potential experiment to run. When running the experiment, I will not comment with the account and will not change my betting behavior on it.
Assuming I run the experiment, resolves YES if Manifold bans the account, even if they know it is not @MarkIngraham, and NO otherwise.
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
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1 | Ṁ24 | |
2 | Ṁ20 | |
3 | Ṁ5 |
I think the staff are trying to resolve the California rent crisis by living in Mark’s head for free.
I think I recently inadvertently revealed my alt account to Manifold staff so if I do the experiment I would create a new account.