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@WinstonOswaldDrummond
If you intended the "Not just on Pause" , will you clarify if that meaning is equivalent to waiting until "Ratification".

@WinstonOswaldDrummond Hey, is this resolving based on the initial acceptance of a tentative deal, or the full completion of the ratification process? It sounds based on the wording "not just on pause" that you mean the final ratification.

@Panfilo The description says it resolves to whichever month the SAG-AFTRA union officially announces that the strike is over.

Official announcement is here: https://www.sagaftra.org/message-your-sag-aftra-president-and-chief-negotiator

@FairlyFrozen WE SHALL SEE shells by the seashore

@FairlyFrozen sounds like this resolves

@Panfilo My point is that the strike resumes if the deal isn’t ratified, which means it’s paused.

@Stralor I would say based on the description "Resolves to whichever month the SAG-AFTRA union officially announces that the actors strike is over (not just on pause)."
This negates any need of ratification since they have "Officially announced the strike is over"
The only issue is the adding of "(not just on pause)." That is a tricky one after a lot of thought (probably too much).

https://www.nytimes.com/2023/11/10/business/media/sag-tentative-deal-vote.html

@SirCryptomind Thanks for this, and sorry for the confusion with the resolution criteria. I think it makes the most sense to resolve this given that the announcement said "the strike is over".

Feel free to disagree and keep discussing though. I guess another option could be to resolve both November and December to yes?

@WinstonOswaldDrummond I would say the resolution is correct since even last night on SNL the opening monologue made mention how actors can do what they want again, so that would imply there is no "pause" during the waiting of ratification.

Also, the past 4-5 days the market has been high, so the "spirit of the market" has this as November based on overall perception of your question.

What's it called when you counter the last finality?

https://www.nbcnews.com/pop-culture/pop-culture-news/sag-aftra-intends-counter-amptps-best-final-offer-rcna123883

SAG-AFTRA intends to counter AMPTP's 'best and final' offer

SAG-AFTRA and Hollywood's studios may be back to the negotiating table.

@Panfilo all the news I can find says the strike could end any day. what are you trading based on?

@DylanSlagh There is a gap in the already-cancelled production pipeline through January, and a rejection today would mean another negotiation stoppage of at least a few weeks, with the committees not talking to make good on threats made in the current round.

@Panfilo so your saying the deal offered by the studios doesn’t conform with the demands made by the comittee? what’s your source on that?

@DylanSlagh https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vYgVnqo8Ky0

Leaks to the morning shows about in-fighting within the SAG negotiating committee, along with the divide between B-list and A-list stars.

SAG-AFTRA split over Hollywood studios' 'last, best and final offer'

After 115 days of the Hollywood actors’ strike, studios have made what’s being characterized as their “last, best and final offer” but members of the SAG-AFT...

@WinstonOswaldDrummond Checking in because of issues with the UAW markets. Will you consider the "we have a tentative deal, pause ths strike" announcement to be the end, or will you consider the "the deal is ratified, the strike is fully over" announcement to be the end?

@Panfilo Good question. I'll go with the latter.

FYI, there is a Kalshi market about this with decent real-money liquidity! https://kalshi.com/markets/wga/writers-strike-ends#wga-23jul31

@AdhiR Note that the writers strike and the actors strike are not the same.

Day 100 of WGA Writers Strike is August 10th, 2023.

One would hope something gets agreed on officially by that time now that SAG-AFTRA is on strike.