When will the 10th drop fall in the pitch drop experiment?
17
545Ṁ17972031
1%
2023-2024
32%
2025-2026
49%
2027-2028
13%
2029-2030
5%
2031 or later
Resolves to the year when the 10th drop falls in the University of Queensland pitch drop experiment. Automatically resolves to "2031 or later" if the 10th drop hasn't fallen by 2031.
Resolves N/A if the experiment stops before the next drop falls, the answer is unclear, or the experiment is tampered with in a way that affects the time of the drop to a non-negligible degree.
Year start and end times are based on Queensland time.
This market is only about the official University of Queensland pitch drop experiment, originally started by Professor Thomas Parnell in 1927. More info on the pitch drop experiment, including when previous drops occurred, can be found here.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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