Will we set a new record for number of people in space by mid 2025?
11
แน€110
2025
41%
chance

Using the 100 km Karman line as the barrier. The current record is 19, set in 2021

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_spaceflight_records#Human_spaceflight_firsts

This would not count any flights by Virgin Galactic as they do not go up to 100km.

There are currently 10 people in space as of April 12, 2024 (check the current number at https://whoisinspace.com/) and there is a scheduled Blue Origin space tourism flight, but that would only bring us to 16. To set a new record, we will probably need a confluence of an ISS or Tiangong crew change happening at the same time as a space tourism flight.

If Wikipedia records a new record for number of people in space (100km), this resolves to YES.

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