Will David still be the Manifold Community Manager in a year?
Manifold
27
45
Ṁ323
resolved May 3
Resolved
YES
David joined the Manifold team today as the new community manager, so to welcome him I'm curious to see the odds of him sticking around for a year. On one hand, he seems pretty nice so far and the Manifold community is decently tame. On the other, being a community manager is notoriously stressful and Manifold is growing quickly. David may also encounter other opportunities, such as full-time streaming. This market resolves YES if, at market close, David is still a community manager for Manifold. Otherwise, it resolves NO. I may resolve it early if David leaves in less than a year and it appears he will not return.
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predicted NO

Congrats on 1 year! I bet NO (apparently), but I was wrong haha

predicted YES

Ya this can resolve yes @wasabipesto

predicted YES

@DavidChee Congratulations on one year!

predicted YES

FYI, although I would say the chance is still high, there is still a chance my title changes within the next few weeks.

This is particularly the case because I'm speaking to an O1 lawyer next week and dependent on his advice may want to change my job title to reflect a more crucial role than community manager. Especially as over the past few months community management tasks took up a minority % of my time and isn't a particularly fitting title anyways.

bought Ṁ100 of YES

@DavidChee goodluck with the title stuff. Any chance the title change happens by tomorrow? 😅

predicted NO

@firstuserhere @JamesGrugett @SG @Austin some easy mana to be made if u want to give a quick promotion (or layoff monkaS).

predicted YES

@DavidChee phew (w.r.t market only, best of luck for the title change) , resolves YES i think?

predicted YES
@Ian ah I'm glad my proficiency at learning dominos quickly is what convinced you!
bought Ṁ10 of YES
He nearly won a domino's game today, big strategy energy
bought Ṁ20 of YES
I really hope I am! One thing that would be good to clarify is what counts as "still a community manager for Manifold". If I have another title but still take on some community manager responsibilities does it count? Just some more info for informed predictions - I use to full time stream but am intentionally moving away from it as I want to move it to hobby status and grow into new areas. So I have no intention of looking for other opportunities, although it is worth noting I am still in a 4 week trial-period that all new members go through.
bought Ṁ50 of NO
Congrats David! I think he'll probably be CEO by next year.
bought Ṁ10 of YES
I actually would bet this higher if not for the fact that David might be eg "Game Designer for Manifold" instead in a year. A year's a really long time, and I see a lot of growth potential in him~

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