Will Eliezer Yudkowsky unblock me on Twitter in 2024?
Basic
8
Ṁ307Dec 31
9%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
My account (@warty_dog) is currently blocked by the Yud (@ESYudkowsky). This resolves YES if, at some time in 2024, I check and see that it's not blocked, and I think this was caused by Eliezer himself unblocking me (as opposed to a bug or something). Otherwise, NO at the close date.
The likely reason for the block is this tweet of mine https://twitter.com/warty_dog/status/1558966475125391362
previous year's market https://manifold.markets/warty/will-eliezer-yudkowsky-unblock-me-o
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
@42irrationalist the possibilities are running out. at this point my best bet might be intercession
bought Ṁ30 NO from 28% to 20%
Related questions
Related questions
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky go on The Joe Rogan Experience podcast by the end of 2024?
2% chance
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky unblock me on at least one social media platform before the end of 2024?
21% chance
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky write a tweet containing the word "rationalussy" in 2024?
18% chance
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky get fully blaked before 2027?
19% chance
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky have at least 200,000 followers on Twitter by the end of 2024?
6% chance
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky get an op-ed in the NY Times or Washington Post by the end of 2024?
7% chance
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky go on The Ezra Klein Show podcast by the end of 2024?
2% chance
Will Steven Pinker unblock me on Twitter before the end of 2024?
10% chance
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky hit 10 million Twitter followers by 2037?
18% chance
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky go on the DarkHorse Podcast by 2025?
6% chance